Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

American Express Company (AXP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$353.49 - $937.71$540.52
Multi-Stage$240.99 - $263.35$251.97
Blended Fair Value$396.24
Current Price$332.16
Upside19.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.05%6.74%2.862.542.242.072.112.031.891.791.731.68
YoY Growth--12.30%13.74%8.08%-1.76%3.66%7.40%5.84%3.65%2.99%12.58%
Dividend Yield--1.06%1.12%1.36%1.11%1.49%2.37%1.69%1.92%2.18%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,198.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,343.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,108.201,317.63790.58
Cash Retained (M)8,343.008,343.008,343.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,108.20-1,317.63-790.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,234.807,025.387,552.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)699.50699.50699.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.9110.0410.80
LTM Dividend per Share3.143.143.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.9110.0410.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.0613.1913.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$353.49$540.52$937.71
Upside / Downside6.42%62.73%182.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,541.0011,226.1711,955.8712,733.0013,560.6414,442.0814,875.35
Payout Ratio20.85%34.68%48.51%62.34%76.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,198.003,893.415,799.937,937.8510,329.1912,997.8813,759.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,535.213,568.723,602.23
Year 2 PV (M)4,781.844,872.924,964.86
Year 3 PV (M)5,942.396,112.976,286.79
Year 4 PV (M)7,021.197,291.207,568.93
Year 5 PV (M)8,022.378,409.858,812.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)139,268.12145,994.82152,978.97
Equity Value (M)168,571.11176,250.49184,213.95
Shares Outstanding (M)699.50699.50699.50
Fair Value$240.99$251.97$263.35
Upside / Downside-27.45%-24.14%-20.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 2 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
GHYPGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc15.29%$1.8962.38%
BGRBlackRock Energy and Resources Trust15.26%$2.1298.26%
BOEBlackRock Enhanced Global Dividend Trust15.09%$1.7867.28%
FENFirst Trust Energy Income and Growth Fund15.00%$2.4049.79%
SOJESouthern Company (The) Series 214.95%$2.6967.01%
PSFCohen & Steers Select Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.84%$3.0256.28%
EVGEaton Vance Short Duration Diversified Income Fund14.82%$1.6271.62%
LDPCohen & Steers Limited Duration Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.73%$3.1554.69%
DNPDNP Select Income Fund Inc.14.64%$1.4553.01%
JRSNuveen Real Estate Income Fund14.56%$1.1189.79%
DPGDuff & Phelps Utility and Infrastructure Fund Inc.14.47%$1.8654.60%
BSTBlackRock Science and Technology Trust14.42%$5.8646.91%
MPAIXMorgan Stanley Insti Fd Advantage Portfolio Cl I14.33%$4.0043.20%
JCAPJefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock14.11%$3.1245.65%
PHTPioneer High Income Fund, Inc.13.99%$1.1961.96%
RZC7.125% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Debentures due 205213.93%$3.5527.34%
RNPCohen & Steers REIT and Preferred Income Fund, Inc.13.88%$2.7761.92%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.13.87%$0.7010.86%
STT-PDState Street Corporation13.86%$3.4633.48%
FCTFirst Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II13.80%$1.3867.42%
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.13.57%$4.4389.50%
DHFBNY Mellon High Yield Strategies Fund13.55%$0.3461.16%
JHIJohn Hancock Investors Trust13.15%$1.7974.97%
AIOVirtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund12.91%$2.8238.01%
UTFCohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund, Inc12.84%$3.1453.56%
DFPFlaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc.12.81%$2.6848.05%
WEAWestern Asset Premier Bond Fund12.81%$1.4380.16%
TPZTortoise Essential Energy Fund12.76%$2.6467.76%
FTFranklin Universal Trust12.72%$1.0256.42%
CSQCalamos Strategic Total Return Fund12.70%$2.4351.10%
HYBThe New America High Income Fund Inc.12.68%$1.0463.42%
NBBNuveen Taxable Municipal Income Fund12.66%$2.0085.04%
RWAYRunway Growth Finance Corp.12.66%$1.1475.51%
ELVTElevate Credit, Inc.12.61%$0.2475.91%
NDPTortoise Energy Independence Fund, Inc.12.60%$5.0986.32%
BCEICivitas Resources, Inc.12.58%$7.0698.41%
GENVRGen Digital Inc. Contingent Value Rights12.54%$0.5054.91%
SOJCThe Southern Company JR 2017B NT 7712.31%$2.6967.01%
BTOJohn Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund12.25%$4.3229.72%
FEIFirst Trust MLP and Energy Income Fund12.21%$1.2058.56%
PCNPIMCO Corporate & Income Strategy Fund12.19%$1.5568.95%
HTDJohn Hancock Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund12.17%$2.9051.08%
NIEVirtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund12.17%$3.0445.26%
PFDFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Fund Inc.11.99%$1.4348.51%
TYGTortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation11.98%$4.9643.95%
FPLFirst Trust New Opportunities MLP & Energy Fund11.82%$0.9254.20%
BTZBlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust11.69%$1.2692.75%
BHBFXMadison Dividend Income Fd Cl Y11.61%$2.8540.22%
CGABLThe Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 206111.57%$2.0197.92%
DBLDoubleLine Opportunistic Credit Fund11.57%$1.7652.03%