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Arterra Bioscience (ARBS.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.43 - $95.63$30.17
Multi-Stage$9.99 - $10.91$10.45
Blended Fair Value$20.31
Current Price$2.42
Upside739.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS17.29%0.00%0.100.100.000.000.020.050.030.010.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-62.25%50.00%300.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.10%6.02%0.00%0.00%0.60%1.19%0.88%0.22%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.650.410.24
Cash Retained (M)1.401.401.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.65-0.41-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.751.001.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.666.666.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.150.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.150.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate8.01%8.01%8.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.43$30.17$95.63
Upside / Downside578.79%1,146.64%3,851.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.253.463.693.934.184.454.59
Payout Ratio56.80%63.44%70.08%76.72%83.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.852.202.583.013.484.014.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.01%8.01%8.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.012.032.05
Year 2 PV (M)2.172.212.26
Year 3 PV (M)2.322.392.46
Year 4 PV (M)2.472.562.66
Year 5 PV (M)2.602.732.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)54.9857.6360.39
Equity Value (M)66.5569.5572.67
Shares Outstanding (M)6.666.666.66
Fair Value$9.99$10.45$10.91
Upside / Downside313.02%331.65%350.98%

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