Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$103.83 - $168.17$132.74
Multi-Stage$206.40 - $227.12$216.56
Blended Fair Value$174.65
Current Price$123.50
Upside41.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.18%1.17%2.802.882.872.110.692.782.742.672.602.51
YoY Growth---2.67%0.45%35.76%204.99%-75.07%1.26%2.68%2.91%3.63%0.41%
Dividend Yield--3.17%2.39%3.07%2.76%0.75%6.04%3.57%2.54%3.53%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)752.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)524.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150.4094.0056.40
Cash Retained (M)524.00524.00524.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-150.40-94.00-56.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)373.60430.00467.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.0878.0878.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.795.515.99
LTM Dividend per Share2.922.922.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.795.515.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.718.438.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.82%0.18%1.18%
Fair Value$103.83$132.74$168.17
Upside / Downside-15.93%7.49%36.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)752.00753.35754.70756.05757.41758.77781.53
Payout Ratio30.32%42.26%54.19%66.13%78.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)228.00318.33408.98499.96591.26682.89722.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.82%0.18%1.18%
Year 1 PV (M)295.81298.79301.77
Year 2 PV (M)353.16360.32367.54
Year 3 PV (M)401.17413.43425.93
Year 4 PV (M)440.87458.92477.52
Year 5 PV (M)473.16497.50522.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,150.8914,878.8215,636.41
Equity Value (M)16,115.0616,907.7817,732.01
Shares Outstanding (M)78.0878.0878.08
Fair Value$206.40$216.56$227.12
Upside / Downside67.13%75.35%83.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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