Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SAM Engineering & Equipment (M) Berhad (9822.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.85 - $1.21$1.03
Multi-Stage$1.32 - $1.45$1.39
Blended Fair Value$1.21
Current Price$3.84
Upside-68.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS-10.67%0.00%0.030.020.030.020.030.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--65.00%-28.55%26.93%-25.17%-49.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.32%0.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.8410.526.31
Cash Retained (M)65.2465.2465.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.84-10.52-6.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.4054.7158.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)676.99676.99676.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.85$1.03$1.21
Upside / Downside-77.88%-73.23%-68.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84.1983.3582.5281.6980.8780.0782.47
Payout Ratio22.52%36.01%49.51%63.01%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.9630.0240.8551.4761.8772.0676.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)27.1427.4227.69
Year 2 PV (M)33.4034.0834.78
Year 3 PV (M)38.0539.2240.43
Year 4 PV (M)41.3543.0744.83
Year 5 PV (M)43.5545.8248.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)711.46748.50787.08
Equity Value (M)894.95938.11982.99
Shares Outstanding (M)676.99676.99676.99
Fair Value$1.32$1.39$1.45
Upside / Downside-65.57%-63.91%-62.19%

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