Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Novoray Corporation (688300.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.55 - $266.87$250.09
Multi-Stage$43.67 - $47.82$45.71
Blended Fair Value$147.90
Current Price$62.10
Upside138.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.08%29.79%0.440.270.240.200.200.080.070.070.020.03
YoY Growth--66.20%9.35%21.60%-0.20%153.41%16.18%3.94%179.59%-10.70%-19.53%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.80%0.70%0.67%1.11%0.49%0.44%0.42%0.15%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)286.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)193.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.3035.8221.49
Cash Retained (M)193.38193.38193.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.30-35.82-21.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)136.07157.56171.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)213.52213.52213.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.740.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.740.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.071.171.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$172.55$250.09$266.87
Upside / Downside177.85%302.73%329.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)286.52305.15324.98346.11368.60392.56404.34
Payout Ratio32.51%44.01%55.51%67.00%78.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.14134.29180.38231.90289.36353.31374.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)125.31126.50127.69
Year 2 PV (M)157.07160.07163.09
Year 3 PV (M)188.44193.85199.36
Year 4 PV (M)219.41227.85236.53
Year 5 PV (M)250.00262.07274.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,384.608,789.589,210.05
Equity Value (M)9,324.839,759.9110,211.33
Shares Outstanding (M)213.52213.52213.52
Fair Value$43.67$45.71$47.82
Upside / Downside-29.68%-26.39%-22.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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