Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Rongtai Industry Co., Ltd. (605133.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$122.92 - $144.86$135.74
Multi-Stage$78.34 - $86.13$82.16
Blended Fair Value$108.95
Current Price$41.28
Upside163.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.02%0.00%0.180.150.120.190.080.100.580.110.110.00
YoY Growth--21.30%23.43%-34.42%120.03%-10.81%-83.66%416.89%-0.50%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.94%0.46%1.28%0.45%0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)185.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.0523.1513.89
Cash Retained (M)167.94167.94167.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.05-23.15-13.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)130.90144.79154.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)249.89249.89249.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.580.62
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.580.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.69
WACC / Discount Rate2.11%2.11%2.11%
Growth Rate3.64%4.64%5.64%
Fair Value$122.92$135.74$144.86
Upside / Downside197.76%228.82%250.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)185.23193.83202.82212.24222.09232.40239.37
Payout Ratio9.33%25.47%41.60%57.73%73.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.2949.3684.37122.53164.05209.16221.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.11%2.11%2.11%
Growth Rate3.64%4.64%5.64%
Year 1 PV (M)47.8848.3448.80
Year 2 PV (M)79.3880.9282.48
Year 3 PV (M)111.82115.09118.42
Year 4 PV (M)145.22150.91156.76
Year 5 PV (M)179.59188.43197.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,011.8619,946.9220,918.41
Equity Value (M)19,575.7620,530.6021,522.47
Shares Outstanding (M)249.89249.89249.89
Fair Value$78.34$82.16$86.13
Upside / Downside89.77%99.02%108.64%

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