Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Hengxing New Material (603276.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.82 - $2.83$2.29
Multi-Stage$4.26 - $4.69$4.47
Blended Fair Value$3.38
Current Price$17.44
Upside-80.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-4.77%0.00%0.150.010.020.030.080.190.030.020.000.00
YoY Growth--904.01%-30.67%-32.49%-59.03%-59.33%609.24%12.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.89%0.10%0.09%0.13%0.33%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.165.103.06
Cash Retained (M)14.8414.8414.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.16-5.10-3.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.689.7411.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)210.16210.16210.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.82$2.29$2.83
Upside / Downside-89.56%-86.89%-83.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.8040.3939.9839.5839.1938.8039.96
Payout Ratio63.62%68.90%74.17%79.45%84.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.9627.8329.6631.4533.2034.9236.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.9026.1626.43
Year 2 PV (M)25.6926.2226.75
Year 3 PV (M)25.3626.1426.94
Year 4 PV (M)24.9225.9527.01
Year 5 PV (M)24.3925.6626.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)769.61809.69851.41
Equity Value (M)895.87939.82985.53
Shares Outstanding (M)210.16210.16210.16
Fair Value$4.26$4.47$4.69
Upside / Downside-75.56%-74.36%-73.11%

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