Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ginwa Enterprise (Group) Inc. (600080.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.33 - $1.88$1.60
Multi-Stage$5.24 - $5.81$5.52
Blended Fair Value$3.56
Current Price$7.42
Upside-52.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-26.03%-9.69%0.010.010.000.090.030.040.030.030.000.00
YoY Growth---11.25%0.00%-100.00%200.00%-25.00%33.33%22.27%1,153.89%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.12%0.14%0.00%1.11%0.52%0.69%0.37%0.26%0.02%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)78.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.669.795.87
Cash Retained (M)63.7963.7963.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.66-9.79-5.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.1254.0057.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)356.25356.25356.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.150.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.150.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.190.20
WACC / Discount Rate5.35%5.35%5.35%
Growth Rate-6.95%-5.95%-4.95%
Fair Value$1.33$1.60$1.88
Upside / Downside-82.06%-78.41%-74.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)78.3273.6669.2865.1661.2957.6459.37
Payout Ratio18.56%32.85%47.14%61.42%75.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.5424.2032.6640.0246.4051.8854.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.35%5.35%5.35%
Growth Rate-6.95%-5.95%-4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)22.7222.9723.21
Year 2 PV (M)28.8029.4330.05
Year 3 PV (M)33.1534.2335.34
Year 4 PV (M)36.1037.6739.30
Year 5 PV (M)37.9039.9842.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,708.691,802.501,900.39
Equity Value (M)1,867.371,966.782,070.44
Shares Outstanding (M)356.25356.25356.25
Fair Value$5.24$5.52$5.81
Upside / Downside-29.36%-25.60%-21.67%

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