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Kuraudia Holdings Co.,Ltd. (3607.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$284.20 - $424.03$350.71
Multi-Stage$541.68 - $595.75$568.19
Blended Fair Value$459.45
Current Price$351.00
Upside30.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.29%-2.43%12.007.774.930.030.0417.5215.4615.4617.289.66
YoY Growth--54.54%57.41%17,107.75%-35.34%-99.75%13.32%0.02%-10.56%78.95%-37.06%
Dividend Yield--3.42%2.27%1.21%0.01%0.02%5.80%3.17%3.12%2.92%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)311.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)203.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.3738.9823.39
Cash Retained (M)203.84203.84203.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.37-38.98-23.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)141.47164.86180.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.009.009.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.7218.3220.05
LTM Dividend per Share12.0012.0012.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.7218.3220.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend27.7230.3232.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$284.20$350.71$424.03
Upside / Downside-19.03%-0.08%20.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)311.84308.72305.63302.58299.55296.56305.45
Payout Ratio34.63%45.71%56.78%67.85%78.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.00141.11173.54205.31236.43266.90282.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)129.87131.19132.52
Year 2 PV (M)146.99150.01153.05
Year 3 PV (M)160.04164.99170.04
Year 4 PV (M)169.62176.65183.89
Year 5 PV (M)176.22185.40194.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,091.894,304.974,526.83
Equity Value (M)4,874.645,113.215,361.29
Shares Outstanding (M)9.009.009.00
Fair Value$541.68$568.19$595.75
Upside / Downside54.32%61.88%69.73%

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