Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Suzhou Good-Ark Electronics Co., Ltd. (002079.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.37 - $23.61$22.13
Multi-Stage$3.25 - $3.56$3.41
Blended Fair Value$12.77
Current Price$10.68
Upside19.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.99%10.67%0.050.040.060.050.040.030.030.030.020.02
YoY Growth--23.94%-24.72%21.93%17.73%25.78%-5.10%11.40%65.72%-4.29%-2.39%
Dividend Yield--0.53%0.44%0.36%0.44%0.42%0.33%0.42%0.38%0.20%0.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.1611.987.19
Cash Retained (M)73.0873.0873.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.16-11.98-7.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.9261.1065.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)806.80806.80806.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.70%6.70%6.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8.37$22.13$23.61
Upside / Downside-21.64%107.21%121.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.80102.03108.66115.72123.24131.25135.19
Payout Ratio23.72%36.98%50.23%63.49%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.7237.7354.5873.4794.58118.13125.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.70%6.70%6.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)35.0335.3635.69
Year 2 PV (M)47.0547.9448.85
Year 3 PV (M)58.8060.4862.20
Year 4 PV (M)70.2872.9875.76
Year 5 PV (M)81.4985.4389.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,333.092,445.782,562.78
Equity Value (M)2,625.732,747.972,874.79
Shares Outstanding (M)806.80806.80806.80
Fair Value$3.25$3.41$3.56
Upside / Downside-69.53%-68.11%-66.64%

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