Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

National HealthCare Corporation (NHC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.89 - $173.13$127.33
Multi-Stage$96.65 - $105.67$101.08
Blended Fair Value$114.21
Current Price$107.01
Upside6.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.44%7.05%2.372.282.212.052.042.001.911.811.651.35
YoY Growth--3.95%2.76%8.04%0.34%2.28%4.63%5.63%9.47%22.31%12.75%
Dividend Yield--2.55%2.46%3.81%2.92%2.62%2.78%2.53%3.03%2.32%2.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.2512.667.59
Cash Retained (M)63.0663.0663.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.25-12.66-7.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.8150.4055.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.6315.6315.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.743.233.55
LTM Dividend per Share2.442.442.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.743.233.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.185.675.99
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate3.43%4.43%5.43%
Fair Value$94.89$127.33$173.13
Upside / Downside-11.32%18.99%61.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.25105.73110.42115.31120.42125.75129.52
Payout Ratio37.72%48.18%58.63%69.09%79.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.1950.9464.7479.6795.79113.18119.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate3.43%4.43%5.43%
Year 1 PV (M)46.2546.7047.15
Year 2 PV (M)53.3754.4155.46
Year 3 PV (M)59.6361.3863.16
Year 4 PV (M)65.1067.6670.29
Year 5 PV (M)69.8573.2976.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,216.101,276.041,338.32
Equity Value (M)1,510.311,579.481,651.23
Shares Outstanding (M)15.6315.6315.63
Fair Value$96.65$101.08$105.67
Upside / Downside-9.68%-5.54%-1.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 2 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
GHYPGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc15.29%$1.8962.38%
BGRBlackRock Energy and Resources Trust15.26%$2.1298.26%
BOEBlackRock Enhanced Global Dividend Trust15.09%$1.7867.28%
FENFirst Trust Energy Income and Growth Fund15.00%$2.4049.79%
SOJESouthern Company (The) Series 214.95%$2.6967.01%
PSFCohen & Steers Select Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.84%$3.0256.28%
EVGEaton Vance Short Duration Diversified Income Fund14.82%$1.6271.62%
LDPCohen & Steers Limited Duration Preferred and Income Fund, Inc.14.73%$3.1554.69%
DNPDNP Select Income Fund Inc.14.64%$1.4553.01%
JRSNuveen Real Estate Income Fund14.56%$1.1189.79%
DPGDuff & Phelps Utility and Infrastructure Fund Inc.14.47%$1.8654.60%
BSTBlackRock Science and Technology Trust14.42%$5.8646.91%
MPAIXMorgan Stanley Insti Fd Advantage Portfolio Cl I14.33%$4.0043.20%
JCAPJefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock14.11%$3.1245.65%
PHTPioneer High Income Fund, Inc.13.99%$1.1961.96%
RZC7.125% Fixed-Rate Reset Subordinated Debentures due 205213.93%$3.5527.34%
RNPCohen & Steers REIT and Preferred Income Fund, Inc.13.88%$2.7761.92%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.13.87%$0.7010.86%
STT-PDState Street Corporation13.86%$3.4633.48%
FCTFirst Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II13.80%$1.3867.42%
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.13.57%$4.4389.50%
DHFBNY Mellon High Yield Strategies Fund13.55%$0.3461.16%
JHIJohn Hancock Investors Trust13.15%$1.7974.97%
AIOVirtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund12.91%$2.8238.01%
UTFCohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund, Inc12.84%$3.1453.56%
DFPFlaherty & Crumrine Dynamic Preferred and Income Fund Inc.12.81%$2.6848.05%
WEAWestern Asset Premier Bond Fund12.81%$1.4380.16%
TPZTortoise Essential Energy Fund12.76%$2.6467.76%
FTFranklin Universal Trust12.72%$1.0256.42%
CSQCalamos Strategic Total Return Fund12.70%$2.4351.10%
HYBThe New America High Income Fund Inc.12.68%$1.0463.42%
NBBNuveen Taxable Municipal Income Fund12.66%$2.0085.04%
RWAYRunway Growth Finance Corp.12.66%$1.1475.51%
ELVTElevate Credit, Inc.12.61%$0.2475.91%
NDPTortoise Energy Independence Fund, Inc.12.60%$5.0986.32%
BCEICivitas Resources, Inc.12.58%$7.0698.41%
GENVRGen Digital Inc. Contingent Value Rights12.54%$0.5054.91%
SOJCThe Southern Company JR 2017B NT 7712.31%$2.6967.01%
BTOJohn Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund12.25%$4.3229.72%
FEIFirst Trust MLP and Energy Income Fund12.21%$1.2058.56%
PCNPIMCO Corporate & Income Strategy Fund12.19%$1.5568.95%
HTDJohn Hancock Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund12.17%$2.9051.08%
NIEVirtus Equity & Convertible Income Fund12.17%$3.0445.26%
PFDFlaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Fund Inc.11.99%$1.4348.51%
TYGTortoise Energy Infrastructure Corporation11.98%$4.9643.95%
FPLFirst Trust New Opportunities MLP & Energy Fund11.82%$0.9254.20%
BTZBlackRock Credit Allocation Income Trust11.69%$1.2692.75%
BHBFXMadison Dividend Income Fd Cl Y11.61%$2.8540.22%
CGABLThe Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 206111.57%$2.0197.92%
DBLDoubleLine Opportunistic Credit Fund11.57%$1.7652.03%