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PT Budi Starch & Sweetener Tbk (BUDI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$648.83 - $3,692.21$1,187.13
Multi-Stage$565.35 - $619.77$592.05
Blended Fair Value$889.59
Current Price$220.00
Upside304.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.47%0.00%9.0014.018.006.006.005.004.002.500.000.00
YoY Growth---35.71%75.00%33.33%0.00%20.00%25.00%60.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.55%5.35%3.89%2.83%5.61%6.03%4.00%1.98%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88,642.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31,482.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)57,160.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,728.4011,080.256,648.15
Cash Retained (M)57,160.0057,160.0057,160.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,728.40-11,080.25-6,648.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)39,431.6046,079.7550,511.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,497.074,497.074,497.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.7710.2511.23
LTM Dividend per Share7.007.007.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.7710.2511.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.7717.2518.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.79%4.79%5.79%
Fair Value$648.83$1,187.13$3,692.21
Upside / Downside194.92%439.61%1,578.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88,642.0092,885.4197,331.96101,991.37106,873.83111,990.02115,349.72
Payout Ratio35.52%46.41%57.31%68.21%79.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31,482.0043,110.6455,780.4969,564.6084,540.60100,791.02106,698.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.79%4.79%5.79%
Year 1 PV (M)40,165.0140,552.0040,939.00
Year 2 PV (M)48,418.2549,355.7850,302.29
Year 3 PV (M)56,257.2457,899.0959,572.58
Year 4 PV (M)63,696.9766,187.5968,750.54
Year 5 PV (M)70,752.0074,226.8377,836.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,263,128.832,374,277.582,489,751.13
Equity Value (M)2,542,418.292,662,498.872,787,152.40
Shares Outstanding (M)4,497.074,497.074,497.07
Fair Value$565.35$592.05$619.77
Upside / Downside156.98%169.11%181.71%

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