Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Worldia Diamond Tools Co.,Ltd. (688028.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.30 - $105.83$36.57
Multi-Stage$12.31 - $13.45$12.87
Blended Fair Value$24.72
Current Price$49.38
Upside-49.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS41.55%0.00%0.370.220.120.280.490.070.140.090.060.00
YoY Growth--70.82%89.66%-58.79%-43.01%646.99%-52.57%46.90%48.61%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.20%0.48%1.18%2.30%0.20%0.35%0.24%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.8111.767.06
Cash Retained (M)58.1458.1458.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.81-11.76-7.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.3346.3851.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)151.35151.35151.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.310.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.310.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.30$36.57$105.83
Upside / Downside-58.89%-25.95%114.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.07100.19106.70113.64121.02128.89132.76
Payout Ratio38.20%48.56%58.92%69.28%79.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.9348.6562.8778.7396.38116.00122.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)44.5945.0145.43
Year 2 PV (M)52.8153.8154.83
Year 3 PV (M)60.6162.3564.12
Year 4 PV (M)68.0170.6273.31
Year 5 PV (M)75.0278.6482.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,562.061,637.501,715.84
Equity Value (M)1,863.091,947.942,035.94
Shares Outstanding (M)151.35151.35151.35
Fair Value$12.31$12.87$13.45
Upside / Downside-75.07%-73.94%-72.76%

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