Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Universal Music Group N.V. (UMG.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.09 - $30.76$25.07
Multi-Stage$43.53 - $47.91$45.68
Blended Fair Value$35.38
Current Price$27.48
Upside28.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS-1.42%0.00%0.500.500.430.420.150.540.530.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.43%16.42%1.66%177.39%-71.76%2.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%1.94%1.91%1.70%0.61%2.15%2.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,152.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,867.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,285.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)830.40519.00311.40
Cash Retained (M)2,285.002,285.002,285.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-830.40-519.00-311.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,454.601,766.001,973.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,858.891,858.891,858.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.780.951.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.780.951.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.952.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$20.09$25.07$30.76
Upside / Downside-26.89%-8.76%11.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,152.004,110.484,069.384,028.683,988.393,948.514,066.97
Payout Ratio44.97%53.97%62.98%71.99%80.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,867.002,218.552,562.882,900.113,230.333,553.663,761.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,057.922,078.922,099.92
Year 2 PV (M)2,205.202,250.432,296.12
Year 3 PV (M)2,314.682,386.272,459.31
Year 4 PV (M)2,391.572,490.692,592.86
Year 5 PV (M)2,440.462,567.542,699.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,513.6373,133.3776,902.35
Equity Value (M)80,923.4684,907.2189,050.42
Shares Outstanding (M)1,858.891,858.891,858.89
Fair Value$43.53$45.68$47.91
Upside / Downside58.42%66.22%74.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 2 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0081.HKChina Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited15.97%$0.3160.87%
QRF.BRQrf Comm. VA15.92%$1.6488.42%
INC-UN.TOIncome Financial Trust15.90%$1.4843.23%
QRI.AXQualitas Real Estate Income Fund15.90%$0.2594.00%
9172.KLFormosa Prosonic Industries Berhad15.89%$0.1872.55%
1099.HKSinopharm Group Co. Ltd.15.88%$3.1363.13%
XBBDC.MCBanco Bradesco S.A.15.82%$0.4623.31%
LPIN.JKPT Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk15.59%$69.5396.86%
LFG.AXLiberty Financial Group Limited15.46%$0.6679.98%
ALPDX.PAPiscines Desjoyaux S.A.15.43%$2.0088.06%
2660.HKZengame Technology Holding Limited15.29%$0.3942.93%
CD3.AXCD Private Equity Fund III15.14%$0.1791.41%
PAGSPagSeguro Digital Ltd.15.12%$1.4619.46%
0912.HKSuga International Holdings Limited15.10%$0.1669.91%
RUI.PARubis15.03%$4.8772.73%
WAM.AXWAM Capital Limited15.01%$0.2767.95%
0113.HKDickson Concepts (International) Limited15.00%$0.8467.46%
0830.HKChina State Construction Development Holdings Limited14.96%$0.1834.59%
FFARM.ASForFarmers N.V.14.96%$0.6785.82%
BM.BKBangkok Sheet Metal Public Company Limited14.94%$0.1777.02%
DGS.TODividend Growth Split Corp.14.90%$1.1529.30%
6110.HKTopsports International Holdings Limited14.83%$0.4376.21%
GLB.AXGlobe International Limited14.83%$0.3872.14%
MOT.AXMetrics Income Opportunities Trust14.82%$0.2879.33%
CIQ-UN.TOCanadian High Income Equity Fund14.80%$1.0424.28%
BBVA.DEBanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.14.69%$0.6438.92%
601169.SSBank of Beijing Co., Ltd.14.63%$0.8064.51%
0184.HKKeck Seng Investments (Hong Kong) Limited14.62%$0.3123.90%
0881.HKZhongsheng Group Holdings Limited14.56%$1.7065.93%
6626.HKYuexiu Services Group Limited14.51%$0.3664.32%
ALNU.MEPJSC ALROSA-Nyurba14.51%$9,491.6654.89%
NONG.OLSpareBank 1 Nord-Norge14.36%$21.7372.60%
0640.HKInfinity Development Holdings Company Limited14.32%$0.3651.92%
2558.HKJinshang Bank Co., Ltd.14.28%$0.2031.14%
0270.HKGuangdong Investment Limited14.27%$0.9899.44%
0517.HKCOSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd.14.01%$0.8888.71%
2560.HKAnhui Conch Material Technology Co Ltd14.01%$0.2449.79%
WTCM.MEJoint Stock Company "World Trade Center Moscow"13.98%$1.9924.33%
6186.HKChina Feihe Limited13.94%$0.5681.20%
601186.SSChina Railway Construction Corporation Limited13.92%$1.0764.40%
CFEB.BRCompagnie d'Entreprises CFE S.A.13.92%$1.2171.32%
PMV.AXPremier Investments Limited13.92%$1.9251.67%
601229.SSBank of Shanghai Co., Ltd.13.82%$1.4093.74%
2120.HKWenzhou Kangning Hospital Co., Ltd.13.78%$1.3769.01%
DLNGDynagas LNG Partners LP13.72%$0.5131.08%
MXT.AXMetrics Master Income Trust13.71%$0.2785.17%
0085.HKChina Electronics Huada Technology Company Limited13.70%$0.1947.52%
0046.HKComputer And Technologies Holdings Limited13.69%$0.2285.50%
601328.SSBank of Communications Co., Ltd.13.66%$0.9992.22%
AKER.OLAker ASA13.66%$106.4372.10%