Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$238.29 - $400.86$309.48
Multi-Stage$273.25 - $299.11$285.94
Blended Fair Value$297.71
Current Price$477.15
Upside-37.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.41%5.03%5.555.385.124.894.714.474.093.843.783.69
YoY Growth--3.24%5.04%4.63%3.97%5.21%9.28%6.55%1.78%2.39%8.46%
Dividend Yield--1.68%1.48%2.24%2.20%2.03%3.86%2.92%2.61%4.07%4.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,263.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,723.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,540.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,852.601,157.88694.73
Cash Retained (M)6,540.006,540.006,540.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,852.60-1,157.88-694.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,687.405,382.135,845.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)476.53476.53476.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.8411.2912.27
LTM Dividend per Share5.715.715.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.8411.2912.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.5517.0117.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Fair Value$238.29$309.48$400.86
Upside / Downside-50.06%-35.14%-15.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,263.009,579.289,906.3610,244.6010,594.4010,956.1411,284.82
Payout Ratio29.40%41.52%53.64%65.76%77.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,723.003,977.055,313.566,736.718,250.849,860.5210,438.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Year 1 PV (M)3,610.143,645.393,680.64
Year 2 PV (M)4,378.374,464.294,551.04
Year 3 PV (M)5,038.925,187.975,339.93
Year 4 PV (M)5,602.105,824.136,052.69
Year 5 PV (M)6,077.376,379.936,694.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)105,503.06110,755.42116,214.92
Equity Value (M)130,209.97136,257.13142,533.65
Shares Outstanding (M)476.53476.53476.53
Fair Value$273.25$285.94$299.11
Upside / Downside-42.73%-40.07%-37.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 2 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0081.HKChina Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited15.97%$0.3160.87%
QRF.BRQrf Comm. VA15.92%$1.6488.42%
INC-UN.TOIncome Financial Trust15.90%$1.4843.23%
QRI.AXQualitas Real Estate Income Fund15.90%$0.2594.00%
9172.KLFormosa Prosonic Industries Berhad15.89%$0.1872.55%
1099.HKSinopharm Group Co. Ltd.15.88%$3.1363.13%
XBBDC.MCBanco Bradesco S.A.15.82%$0.4623.31%
LPIN.JKPT Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk15.59%$69.5396.86%
LFG.AXLiberty Financial Group Limited15.46%$0.6679.98%
ALPDX.PAPiscines Desjoyaux S.A.15.43%$2.0088.06%
2660.HKZengame Technology Holding Limited15.29%$0.3942.93%
CD3.AXCD Private Equity Fund III15.14%$0.1791.41%
PAGSPagSeguro Digital Ltd.15.12%$1.4619.46%
0912.HKSuga International Holdings Limited15.10%$0.1669.91%
RUI.PARubis15.03%$4.8772.73%
WAM.AXWAM Capital Limited15.01%$0.2767.95%
0113.HKDickson Concepts (International) Limited15.00%$0.8467.46%
0830.HKChina State Construction Development Holdings Limited14.96%$0.1834.59%
FFARM.ASForFarmers N.V.14.96%$0.6785.82%
BM.BKBangkok Sheet Metal Public Company Limited14.94%$0.1777.02%
DGS.TODividend Growth Split Corp.14.90%$1.1529.30%
6110.HKTopsports International Holdings Limited14.83%$0.4376.21%
GLB.AXGlobe International Limited14.83%$0.3872.14%
MOT.AXMetrics Income Opportunities Trust14.82%$0.2879.33%
CIQ-UN.TOCanadian High Income Equity Fund14.80%$1.0424.28%
BBVA.DEBanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.14.69%$0.6438.92%
601169.SSBank of Beijing Co., Ltd.14.63%$0.8064.51%
0184.HKKeck Seng Investments (Hong Kong) Limited14.62%$0.3123.90%
0881.HKZhongsheng Group Holdings Limited14.56%$1.7065.93%
6626.HKYuexiu Services Group Limited14.51%$0.3664.32%
ALNU.MEPJSC ALROSA-Nyurba14.51%$9,491.6654.89%
NONG.OLSpareBank 1 Nord-Norge14.36%$21.7372.60%
0640.HKInfinity Development Holdings Company Limited14.32%$0.3651.92%
2558.HKJinshang Bank Co., Ltd.14.28%$0.2031.14%
0270.HKGuangdong Investment Limited14.27%$0.9899.44%
0517.HKCOSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd.14.01%$0.8888.71%
2560.HKAnhui Conch Material Technology Co Ltd14.01%$0.2449.79%
WTCM.MEJoint Stock Company "World Trade Center Moscow"13.98%$1.9924.33%
6186.HKChina Feihe Limited13.94%$0.5681.20%
601186.SSChina Railway Construction Corporation Limited13.92%$1.0764.40%
CFEB.BRCompagnie d'Entreprises CFE S.A.13.92%$1.2171.32%
PMV.AXPremier Investments Limited13.92%$1.9251.67%
601229.SSBank of Shanghai Co., Ltd.13.82%$1.4093.74%
2120.HKWenzhou Kangning Hospital Co., Ltd.13.78%$1.3769.01%
DLNGDynagas LNG Partners LP13.72%$0.5131.08%
MXT.AXMetrics Master Income Trust13.71%$0.2785.17%
0085.HKChina Electronics Huada Technology Company Limited13.70%$0.1947.52%
0046.HKComputer And Technologies Holdings Limited13.69%$0.2285.50%
601328.SSBank of Communications Co., Ltd.13.66%$0.9992.22%
AKER.OLAker ASA13.66%$106.4372.10%