Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. (HPS-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.88 - $356.36$217.33
Multi-Stage$101.39 - $110.81$106.01
Blended Fair Value$161.67
Current Price$125.43
Upside28.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.70%15.28%0.970.550.380.340.340.280.240.240.240.24
YoY Growth--77.26%43.72%13.64%0.40%21.48%16.64%0.32%0.04%0.04%0.25%
Dividend Yield--1.28%0.38%1.00%2.68%3.35%4.32%3.31%2.58%3.64%3.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.929.955.97
Cash Retained (M)66.5066.5066.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.92-9.95-5.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.5856.5560.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9211.9211.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.244.745.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.244.745.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.345.846.18
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$145.88$217.33$356.36
Upside / Downside16.31%73.27%184.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.5984.7690.2796.14102.39109.04112.31
Payout Ratio16.45%31.16%45.87%60.58%75.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.0926.4141.4158.2477.0998.14103.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.36%9.36%9.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.9224.1524.38
Year 2 PV (M)33.9734.6235.27
Year 3 PV (M)43.2844.5345.79
Year 4 PV (M)51.8953.8955.94
Year 5 PV (M)59.8462.7365.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)995.501,043.591,093.51
Equity Value (M)1,208.411,263.501,320.62
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9211.9211.92
Fair Value$101.39$106.01$110.81
Upside / Downside-19.17%-15.48%-11.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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