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Frontier Real Estate Investment Corporation (8964.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$129,575.22 - $214,442.23$167,159.75
Multi-Stage$264,099.21 - $289,738.20$276,672.76
Blended Fair Value$221,916.25
Current Price$82,100.00
Upside170.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%5,393.910.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,516.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,632.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)884.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,903.333,064.581,838.75
Cash Retained (M)884.10884.10884.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,903.33-3,064.58-1,838.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4,019.22-2,180.48-954.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.162.162.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1,857.31-1,007.61-441.15
LTM Dividend per Share10,920.7510,920.7510,920.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1,857.31-1,007.61-441.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend9,063.449,913.1410,479.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Fair Value$129,575.22$167,159.75$214,442.23
Upside / Downside57.83%103.61%161.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,516.6324,644.5224,773.0824,902.3125,032.2125,162.7825,917.67
Payout Ratio96.39%95.12%93.84%92.56%91.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,632.5323,440.6623,246.1523,048.9622,849.0922,646.5123,973.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-0.48%0.52%1.52%
Year 1 PV (M)21,794.5522,013.5422,232.53
Year 2 PV (M)20,095.8820,501.7620,911.69
Year 3 PV (M)18,526.1619,090.2519,665.67
Year 4 PV (M)17,075.8017,772.5318,490.36
Year 5 PV (M)15,735.8916,542.5217,381.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)478,282.95502,799.81528,311.91
Equity Value (M)571,511.23598,720.40626,994.05
Shares Outstanding (M)2.162.162.16
Fair Value$264,099.21$276,672.76$289,738.20
Upside / Downside221.68%236.99%252.91%

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