Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

HOYA Corporation (7741.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,466.31 - $17,846.24$12,864.78
Multi-Stage$8,933.28 - $9,769.63$9,343.77
Blended Fair Value$11,104.28
Current Price$20,475.00
Upside-45.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.45%1.81%111.58112.63115.5896.4397.9498.8799.1684.3585.5391.48
YoY Growth---0.93%-2.55%19.86%-1.54%-0.95%-0.29%17.56%-1.38%-6.51%-1.89%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.61%0.68%0.83%0.66%0.96%1.20%1.34%1.47%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)209,280.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55,040.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)154,240.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41,856.0026,160.0015,696.00
Cash Retained (M)154,240.00154,240.00154,240.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-41,856.00-26,160.00-15,696.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)112,384.00128,080.00138,544.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)344.31344.31344.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share326.41372.00402.39
LTM Dividend per Share159.86159.86159.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share326.41372.00402.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend486.27531.85562.24
WACC / Discount Rate9.20%9.20%9.20%
Growth Rate3.86%4.86%5.86%
Fair Value$9,466.31$12,864.78$17,846.24
Upside / Downside-53.77%-37.17%-12.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)209,280.00219,453.74230,122.05241,308.99253,039.75265,340.79273,301.01
Payout Ratio26.30%39.04%51.78%64.52%77.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55,040.0085,674.20119,156.78155,692.26195,498.36238,806.71252,803.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.20%9.20%9.20%
Growth Rate3.86%4.86%5.86%
Year 1 PV (M)77,710.5678,458.7779,206.99
Year 2 PV (M)98,034.4499,931.32101,846.38
Year 3 PV (M)116,186.83119,575.27123,028.95
Year 4 PV (M)132,331.42137,501.96142,822.57
Year 5 PV (M)146,621.05153,816.79161,292.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,504,893.012,627,825.952,755,538.75
Equity Value (M)3,075,777.313,217,110.063,363,735.95
Shares Outstanding (M)344.31344.31344.31
Fair Value$8,933.28$9,343.77$9,769.63
Upside / Downside-56.37%-54.37%-52.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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