Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$121.16 - $258.51$172.37
Multi-Stage$108.63 - $118.27$113.36
Blended Fair Value$142.87
Current Price$83.53
Upside71.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%8.60%6.346.316.014.043.963.753.543.263.112.97
YoY Growth--0.50%5.04%48.79%1.87%5.64%6.08%8.66%4.84%4.67%6.72%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.28%3.10%1.88%2.33%4.02%3.09%3.11%2.89%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,395.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,100.40687.75412.65
Cash Retained (M)107.00107.00107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,100.40-687.75-412.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-993.40-580.75-305.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.346.346.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$121.16$172.37$258.51
Upside / Downside45.04%106.35%209.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,502.005,811.836,139.106,484.806,849.977,235.707,452.78
Payout Ratio98.06%96.44%94.83%93.22%91.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,395.005,605.175,821.906,045.276,275.336,512.136,893.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,089.105,137.745,186.38
Year 2 PV (M)4,799.204,891.384,984.43
Year 3 PV (M)4,524.524,655.494,788.96
Year 4 PV (M)4,264.284,429.654,599.79
Year 5 PV (M)4,017.764,213.474,416.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,748.2673,145.6476,674.13
Equity Value (M)92,443.1296,473.36100,650.41
Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
Fair Value$108.63$113.36$118.27
Upside / Downside30.05%35.72%41.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 16 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0ELV.LGuerbet S.A.7.06%$1.0131.15%
215000.KQGOLFZON Co., Ltd.7.05%$3,999.3763.09%
HLAG.DEHapag-Lloyd AG7.05%$8.2861.62%
XVALO.MCVale S.A.7.05%$0.8162.96%
0GN6.LArgan S.A.7.04%$4.6130.62%
RIGD.ILReliance Industries Limited7.04%$5.008.14%
600098.SSGuangzhou Development Group Incorporated7.03%$0.4669.93%
SORKON.BKS. Khonkaen Foods Public Company Limited7.03%$0.2571.33%
Z74.SISingapore Telecommunications Limited7.03%$0.3287.72%
603995.SSYongjin Technology Group Co., Ltd.7.02%$1.2769.10%
6671.TWSan Neng Group Holdings Co., Ltd.7.02%$2.5194.63%
KPN.ASKoninklijke KPN N.V.7.02%$0.2869.30%
NNCL.BKNava Nakorn Public Company Limited7.02%$0.1182.26%
TEGH.BKThai Eastern Group Holdings Public Company Limited7.02%$0.2137.13%
ASTAK.ATAlpha Real Estate S.a.7.01%$0.5252.38%
INETREIT.BKINET Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust7.01%$0.8045.08%
ABTG.MIAlfio Bardolla Training Group S.p.A.7.00%$0.1235.81%
MMB.PALagardere S.A.7.00%$1.3164.26%
0010.HKHang Lung Group Limited6.99%$1.0742.37%
0RP0.LTikehau Capital6.99%$1.1166.15%
1066.HKShandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited6.99%$0.3541.33%
CAT31.PACaisse Regionale de Credit Agricole Mutuel Toulouse 316.99%$7.4918.27%
037710.KSGwangju Shinsegae. Co. ,Ltd.6.98%$2,199.7640.80%
AP-R.BKAP (Thailand) Public Company Limited6.98%$0.6040.92%
EASON.BKEason & Co Public Company Limited6.97%$0.0860.98%
KENKenon Holdings Ltd.6.97%$4.7154.85%
015860.KSILJIN Holdings Co., Ltd.6.96%$474.0952.60%
3808.HKSinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited6.96%$1.9343.31%
603801.SSZbom Home Collection Co.,Ltd6.96%$0.6494.30%
WOMF.JKPT Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Tbk6.96%$22.5631.36%
601225.SSShaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited6.95%$1.4875.05%
LOG.MCLogista Integral, S.A.6.95%$2.0980.25%
VCX.AXVicinity Centres6.95%$0.1852.81%
0QME.LOrell Füssli AG6.94%$8.3058.10%
3470.TMarimo Regional Revitalization REIT, Inc.6.94%$7,579.0662.91%
ARROW.BKArrow Syndicate Public Company Limited6.93%$0.3569.42%
003690.KSKorean Reinsurance Company6.92%$797.5138.80%
3279.TActivia Properties Inc.6.92%$9,742.1289.07%
IL0A.IRPermanent TSB Group Holdings plc6.92%$0.1639.09%
S41.SIHong Leong Finance Limited6.92%$0.1875.53%
SECURITY.SNGrupo Security S.A.6.92%$23.1197.85%
2377.HKChina Boqi Environmental (Holding) Co., Ltd.6.91%$0.0712.31%
601991.SSDatang International Power Generation Co., Ltd.6.91%$0.2465.75%
ALPJT.PAPoujoulat S.A.6.91%$0.5236.16%
AZM.MIAzimut Holding S.p.A.6.91%$2.4771.18%
PPF.BKPinthong Industrial Park Property Fund6.91%$0.7581.09%
BOLSAA.MXBolsa Mexicana de Valores, S.A.B. de C.V.6.90%$2.5984.50%
HYDRA.ASHydratec Industries N.V.6.90%$12.0839.09%
0O6D.LMiquel y Costas & Miquel, S.A.6.89%$1.0041.40%
0QO6.LJulius Bär Gruppe AG6.89%$3.9199.57%