Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Saudi Automotive Services Company (4050.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126.38 - $148.90$139.54
Multi-Stage$38.90 - $42.64$40.73
Blended Fair Value$90.14
Current Price$56.35
Upside59.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.45%-2.01%1.180.820.810.441.200.430.000.000.380.00
YoY Growth--43.51%1.50%85.35%-63.57%180.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.75%1.23%2.54%1.27%4.12%1.83%0.00%0.00%2.85%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.516.573.94
Cash Retained (M)32.4032.4032.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.51-6.57-3.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.8925.8328.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.1870.1870.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.370.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.69
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$126.38$139.54$148.90
Upside / Downside124.28%147.63%164.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52.5455.9659.6063.4767.5971.9974.15
Payout Ratio38.33%48.67%59.00%69.33%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.1427.2335.1644.0153.8564.7968.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.6925.9326.18
Year 2 PV (M)31.2931.8832.49
Year 3 PV (M)36.9438.0039.08
Year 4 PV (M)42.6444.2845.97
Year 5 PV (M)48.4050.7353.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,544.952,667.882,795.50
Equity Value (M)2,729.912,858.712,992.37
Shares Outstanding (M)70.1870.1870.18
Fair Value$38.90$40.73$42.64
Upside / Downside-30.97%-27.71%-24.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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