Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$76.28 - $161.44	$108.20
Multi-Stage	$57.25 - $62.44	$59.80
Blended Fair Value	$84.00
Current Price	$26.23
Upside	220.25%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.46	1.31	1.18	0.86	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	11.28%	10.53%	37.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.99%	3.88%	3.11%	3.44%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	86.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	32.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	53.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.27	10.80	6.48
Cash Retained (M)	53.54	53.54	53.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.27	-10.80	-6.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	36.26	42.74	47.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	21.18	21.18	21.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.71	2.02	2.22
LTM Dividend per Share	1.55	1.55	1.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.71	2.02	2.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.26	3.57	3.77
WACC / Discount Rate	10.01%	10.01%	10.01%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$76.28	$108.20	$161.44
Upside / Downside	190.80%	312.52%	515.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	86.37	91.99	97.96	104.33	111.11	118.34	121.89
Payout Ratio	38.01%	48.41%	58.81%	69.21%	79.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	32.83	44.53	57.61	72.20	88.45	106.50	112.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.01%	10.01%	10.01%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	40.10	40.48	40.86
Year 2 PV (M)	46.71	47.60	48.50
Year 3 PV (M)	52.72	54.23	55.77
Year 4 PV (M)	58.15	60.39	62.69
Year 5 PV (M)	63.05	66.10	69.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	951.97	997.95	1,045.69
Equity Value (M)	1,212.70	1,266.75	1,322.77
Shares Outstanding (M)	21.18	21.18	21.18
Fair Value	$57.25	$59.80	$62.44
Upside / Downside	118.24%	127.97%	138.05%

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