Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Premier Marketing Public Company Limited (PM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$9.23 - $13.66	$11.35
Multi-Stage	$13.89 - $15.16	$14.51
Blended Fair Value	$12.93
Current Price	$12.00
Upside	7.76%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.01%	0.00%	0.60	0.63	0.45	0.55	0.67	0.60	0.70	1.01	0.65	0.71
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.76%	40.00%	-18.17%	-18.33%	12.19%	-13.86%	-30.83%	54.07%	-7.58%	17.86%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.82%	8.87%	5.06%	5.73%	7.69%	11.88%	8.01%	8.32%	7.03%	7.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	634.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	574.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	59.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	126.89	79.31	47.58
Cash Retained (M)	59.62	59.62	59.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-126.89	-79.31	-47.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-67.27	-19.68	12.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	558.12	558.12	558.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.12	-0.04	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	1.03	1.03	1.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.12	-0.04	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.91	0.99	1.05
WACC / Discount Rate	9.78%	9.78%	9.78%
Growth Rate	-0.07%	0.93%	1.93%
Fair Value	$9.23	$11.35	$13.66
Upside / Downside	-23.08%	-5.42%	13.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	634.46	640.38	646.36	652.39	658.48	664.62	684.56
Payout Ratio	90.60%	90.48%	90.36%	90.24%	90.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	574.83	579.43	584.06	588.72	593.42	598.16	633.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.78%	9.78%	9.78%
Growth Rate	-0.07%	0.93%	1.93%
Year 1 PV (M)	522.58	527.81	533.04
Year 2 PV (M)	475.08	484.64	494.29
Year 3 PV (M)	431.90	444.99	458.35
Year 4 PV (M)	392.64	408.59	425.03
Year 5 PV (M)	356.95	375.17	394.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,574.26	5,858.80	6,154.84
Equity Value (M)	7,753.41	8,100.01	8,459.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	558.12	558.12	558.12
Fair Value	$13.89	$14.51	$15.16
Upside / Downside	15.77%	20.94%	26.31%

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