Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Merchants Bancorp (MBINO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$711.33 - $1,067.83	$1,000.72
Multi-Stage	$174.97 - $191.66	$183.16
Blended Fair Value	$591.94
Current Price	$31.80
Upside	1,761.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.29%	0.00%	1.11	1.06	0.83	0.68	0.52	0.38	0.22	0.17	0.14	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	5.49%	27.42%	21.87%	31.95%	37.19%	68.89%	28.50%	27.73%	47.42%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.01%	2.50%	3.18%	2.48%	1.84%	3.71%	1.54%	1.21%	1.21%	0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	246.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	59.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	187.18

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	49.32	30.82	18.49
Cash Retained (M)	187.18	187.18	187.18
(-) Cash Required (M)	-49.32	-30.82	-18.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)	137.86	156.35	168.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	45.92	45.92	45.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.00	3.40	3.67
LTM Dividend per Share	1.29	1.29	1.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.00	3.40	3.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.30	4.70	4.97
WACC / Discount Rate	6.14%	6.14%	6.14%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$711.33	$1,000.72	$1,067.83
Upside / Downside	2,136.88%	3,046.91%	3,257.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	246.59	262.62	279.69	297.86	317.23	337.85	347.98
Payout Ratio	24.09%	37.27%	50.46%	63.64%	76.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	59.41	97.89	141.12	189.55	243.69	304.06	321.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.14%	6.14%	6.14%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	91.36	92.23	93.09
Year 2 PV (M)	122.93	125.27	127.63
Year 3 PV (M)	154.11	158.54	163.04
Year 4 PV (M)	184.92	192.03	199.34
Year 5 PV (M)	215.35	225.75	236.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,266.91	7,617.91	7,982.33
Equity Value (M)	8,035.58	8,411.72	8,802.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	45.92	45.92	45.92
Fair Value	$174.97	$183.16	$191.66
Upside / Downside	450.23%	475.98%	502.71%

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