Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.62 - $88.43	$58.20
Multi-Stage	$30.74 - $33.50	$32.10
Blended Fair Value	$45.15
Current Price	$38.49
Upside	17.29%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	56.57%	25.69%	1.11	2.60	2.11	2.10	1.60	0.12	0.12	1.09	1.33	1.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-57.28%	23.49%	0.22%	31.53%	1,252.96%	0.13%	-89.17%	-17.98%	24.70%	843.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.89%	9.45%	5.51%	7.65%	4.02%	0.53%	0.54%	4.54%	4.70%	2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	41.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.26

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.20	5.13	3.08
Cash Retained (M)	19.26	19.26	19.26
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.20	-5.13	-3.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11.06	14.13	16.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19.56	19.56	19.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.57	0.72	0.83
LTM Dividend per Share	1.11	1.11	1.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.57	0.72	0.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.68	1.84	1.94
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$40.62	$58.20	$88.43
Upside / Downside	5.52%	51.20%	129.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	41.02	43.69	46.53	49.55	52.77	56.20	57.89
Payout Ratio	53.05%	60.44%	67.83%	75.22%	82.61%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21.76	26.40	31.56	37.27	43.59	50.58	53.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.86%	9.86%	9.86%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	23.81	24.03	24.26
Year 2 PV (M)	25.66	26.15	26.64
Year 3 PV (M)	27.33	28.11	28.91
Year 4 PV (M)	28.82	29.93	31.07
Year 5 PV (M)	30.15	31.61	33.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	465.42	487.90	511.24
Equity Value (M)	601.19	627.73	655.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	19.56	19.56	19.56
Fair Value	$30.74	$32.10	$33.50
Upside / Downside	-20.14%	-16.61%	-12.96%

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