Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Elders Limited (ELD.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.12 - $159.44	$108.79
Multi-Stage	$20.21 - $22.07	$21.12
Blended Fair Value	$64.95
Current Price	$6.71
Upside	868.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.28%	34.99%	0.35	0.45	0.45	0.30	0.15	0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-22.12%	-0.56%	52.16%	92.38%	30.76%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-34.45%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.21%	7.91%	3.88%	2.47%	1.45%	1.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	130.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	110.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	26.14	16.34	9.80
Cash Retained (M)	19.95	19.95	19.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-26.14	-16.34	-9.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-6.19	3.62	10.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	163.02	163.02	163.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.04	0.02	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.68	0.68	0.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.04	0.02	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.64	0.70	0.74
WACC / Discount Rate	7.19%	7.19%	7.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$40.12	$108.79	$159.44
Upside / Downside	497.85%	1,521.26%	2,276.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	130.70	139.19	148.24	157.88	168.14	179.07	184.44
Payout Ratio	84.73%	85.79%	86.84%	87.89%	88.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	110.74	119.41	128.73	138.76	149.55	161.16	170.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.19%	7.19%	7.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	110.36	111.40	112.45
Year 2 PV (M)	109.95	112.05	114.16
Year 3 PV (M)	109.54	112.68	115.88
Year 4 PV (M)	109.10	113.30	117.62
Year 5 PV (M)	108.66	113.91	119.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,747.43	2,880.13	3,017.91
Equity Value (M)	3,295.04	3,443.47	3,597.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	163.02	163.02	163.02
Fair Value	$20.21	$21.12	$22.07
Upside / Downside	201.23%	214.80%	228.87%

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