Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. (DHIL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$138.71 - $205.08	$170.47
Multi-Stage	$195.22 - $213.51	$204.19
Blended Fair Value	$187.33
Current Price	$140.01
Upside	33.80%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-11.40%	2.24%	6.04	6.46	11.22	26.67	13.88	11.07	10.27	8.87	7.48	6.22
YoY Growth	-	-	-6.48%	-42.42%	-57.93%	92.12%	25.44%	7.76%	15.72%	18.63%	20.16%	28.55%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.23%	4.29%	6.82%	14.24%	8.90%	12.26%	7.21%	4.30%	3.84%	3.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	46.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	24.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9.37	5.86	3.52
Cash Retained (M)	22.29	22.29	22.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9.37	-5.86	-3.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	12.91	16.43	18.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.74	2.74	2.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.72	6.00	6.86
LTM Dividend per Share	8.99	8.99	8.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.72	6.00	6.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend	13.71	14.99	15.85
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	0.03%	1.03%	2.03%
Fair Value	$138.71	$170.47	$205.08
Upside / Downside	-0.93%	21.76%	46.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	46.87	47.36	47.85	48.34	48.84	49.35	50.83
Payout Ratio	52.46%	59.97%	67.47%	74.98%	82.49%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	24.59	28.40	32.29	36.25	40.29	44.41	47.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	0.03%	1.03%	2.03%
Year 1 PV (M)	25.58	25.84	26.09
Year 2 PV (M)	26.20	26.72	27.25
Year 3 PV (M)	26.49	27.30	28.11
Year 4 PV (M)	26.53	27.60	28.71
Year 5 PV (M)	26.34	27.68	29.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	403.01	423.56	444.94
Equity Value (M)	534.14	558.70	584.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.74	2.74	2.74
Fair Value	$195.22	$204.19	$213.51
Upside / Downside	39.43%	45.84%	52.50%

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