Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

BNY Mellon Diversified International Fund Class A (DFPAX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.61 - $8.08$6.81
Multi-Stage$10.79 - $11.85$11.31
Blended Fair Value$9.06
Current Price$9.67
Upside-6.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-2.01%0.450.590.630.690.730.000.720.790.800.80
YoY Growth---24.02%-5.66%-9.40%-4.53%0.00%-100.00%-8.60%-1.34%-0.09%45.41%
Dividend Yield--4.65%5.38%4.92%4.27%5.98%0.00%5.46%6.41%7.40%6.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.951.841.11
Cash Retained (M)6.486.486.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.95-1.84-1.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.524.635.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.4118.4118.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.250.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.250.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate-2.92%-1.92%-0.92%
Fair Value$5.61$6.81$8.08
Upside / Downside-41.98%-29.54%-16.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.7614.4714.2013.9213.6613.3913.79
Payout Ratio56.12%62.90%69.67%76.45%83.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.289.109.8910.6411.3612.0512.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate-2.92%-1.92%-0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)8.338.428.50
Year 2 PV (M)8.288.458.63
Year 3 PV (M)8.158.418.67
Year 4 PV (M)7.978.308.64
Year 5 PV (M)7.738.148.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)158.08166.39175.05
Equity Value (M)198.54208.11218.05
Shares Outstanding (M)18.4118.4118.41
Fair Value$10.79$11.31$11.85
Upside / Downside11.55%16.92%22.51%

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