Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

John Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund (BTO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$161.57 - $261.58$206.52
Multi-Stage$197.80 - $216.61$207.03
Blended Fair Value$206.77
Current Price$35.42
Upside483.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.79%8.30%2.472.442.271.971.992.051.551.331.311.96
YoY Growth--0.98%7.70%14.99%-0.89%-2.84%32.30%16.20%1.76%-33.16%76.28%
Dividend Yield--6.92%8.13%6.81%4.24%6.56%5.65%5.55%3.44%3.61%6.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)288.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)85.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)202.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.6236.0121.61
Cash Retained (M)202.49202.49202.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.62-36.01-21.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)144.87166.48180.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7419.7419.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.348.449.17
LTM Dividend per Share4.344.344.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.348.449.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.6812.7713.50
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate1.79%2.79%3.79%
Fair Value$161.57$206.52$261.58
Upside / Downside356.14%483.05%638.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)288.11296.14304.40312.89321.62330.59340.51
Payout Ratio29.72%41.77%53.83%65.89%77.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)85.61123.71163.86206.15250.68297.53314.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate1.79%2.79%3.79%
Year 1 PV (M)112.24113.34114.44
Year 2 PV (M)134.88137.54140.23
Year 3 PV (M)153.96158.54163.22
Year 4 PV (M)169.86176.63183.61
Year 5 PV (M)182.91192.08201.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,149.873,307.673,471.72
Equity Value (M)3,903.724,085.804,274.82
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7419.7419.74
Fair Value$197.80$207.03$216.61
Upside / Downside458.46%484.50%511.54%

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