Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yuexiu Services Group Limited (6626.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$10.77 - $23.71	$15.49
Multi-Stage	$8.23 - $8.96	$8.59
Blended Fair Value	$12.04
Current Price	$2.63
Upside	357.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	82.44%	0.00%	0.17	0.18	0.09	0.06	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.41%	101.34%	50.64%	2,242.33%	-70.23%	29.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.60%	7.78%	3.07%	2.13%	0.06%	0.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	831.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	535.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)	296.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	166.39	104.00	62.40
Cash Retained (M)	296.84	296.84	296.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-166.39	-104.00	-62.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)	130.45	192.85	234.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,516.41	1,516.41	1,516.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.13	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.35	0.35	0.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.13	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.44	0.48	0.51
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$10.77	$15.49	$23.71
Upside / Downside	309.41%	489.00%	801.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	831.96	886.04	943.63	1,004.97	1,070.29	1,139.86	1,174.06
Payout Ratio	64.32%	69.46%	74.59%	79.73%	84.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	535.12	615.41	703.88	801.24	908.29	1,025.88	1,086.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	555.22	560.48	565.74
Year 2 PV (M)	572.92	583.83	594.85
Year 3 PV (M)	588.38	605.27	622.48
Year 4 PV (M)	601.76	624.90	648.70
Year 5 PV (M)	613.18	642.80	673.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,545.21	10,006.25	10,484.93
Equity Value (M)	12,476.66	13,023.53	13,590.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,516.41	1,516.41	1,516.41
Fair Value	$8.23	$8.59	$8.96
Upside / Downside	212.84%	226.56%	240.77%

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