Definitive Analysis

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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jinshang Bank Co., Ltd. (2558.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.28 - $9.74	$7.88
Multi-Stage	$7.87 - $8.62	$8.24
Blended Fair Value	$8.06
Current Price	$1.32
Upside	510.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.95%	7.57%	0.10	0.11	0.10	0.10	0.12	0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.43%	6.45%	-3.89%	-14.74%	56.89%	-3.11%	48.70%	5.89%	25.42%	-18.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.61%	8.63%	10.37%	8.57%	8.44%	5.53%	2.37%	1.68%	1.47%	1.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,776.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,175.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,600.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	755.25	472.03	283.22
Cash Retained (M)	2,600.30	2,600.30	2,600.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-755.25	-472.03	-283.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,845.05	2,128.27	2,317.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,838.65	5,838.65	5,838.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.32	0.36	0.40
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.32	0.36	0.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.52	0.57	0.60
WACC / Discount Rate	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%
Growth Rate	1.33%	2.33%	3.33%
Fair Value	$6.28	$7.88	$9.74
Upside / Downside	375.94%	497.27%	638.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,776.23	3,864.23	3,954.29	4,046.44	4,140.74	4,237.24	4,364.36
Payout Ratio	31.14%	42.91%	54.68%	66.46%	78.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,175.93	1,658.23	2,162.37	2,689.11	3,239.22	3,813.52	4,037.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%
Growth Rate	1.33%	2.33%	3.33%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,497.16	1,511.93	1,526.71
Year 2 PV (M)	1,762.69	1,797.66	1,832.96
Year 3 PV (M)	1,979.15	2,038.33	2,098.67
Year 4 PV (M)	2,152.46	2,238.70	2,327.50
Year 5 PV (M)	2,287.94	2,403.09	2,522.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	36,280.14	38,106.01	40,004.67
Equity Value (M)	45,959.55	48,095.71	50,313.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,838.65	5,838.65	5,838.65
Fair Value	$7.87	$8.24	$8.62
Upside / Downside	496.33%	524.05%	552.82%

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