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Dividend Growth Split Corp. (DGS.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.82 - $814.89$626.15
Multi-Stage$100.86 - $110.36$105.52
Blended Fair Value$365.84
Current Price$6.94
Upside5,171.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.65%12.74%1.160.321.040.700.220.560.820.760.590.53
YoY Growth--260.38%-69.26%49.53%219.88%-60.95%-31.77%7.22%29.74%11.32%51.72%
Dividend Yield--16.83%6.30%18.19%10.25%6.42%10.60%22.69%9.50%7.52%7.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)184.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)130.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.8723.0413.83
Cash Retained (M)130.32130.32130.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.87-23.04-13.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.45107.28116.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.9944.9944.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.382.59
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.382.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.593.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$214.82$626.15$814.89
Upside / Downside2,995.46%8,922.33%11,641.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)184.34196.32209.08222.67237.14252.56260.13
Payout Ratio29.30%41.44%53.58%65.72%77.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.0281.36112.03146.34184.64227.30240.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75.2575.9676.67
Year 2 PV (M)95.8397.6599.49
Year 3 PV (M)115.77119.09122.48
Year 4 PV (M)135.09140.29145.63
Year 5 PV (M)153.81161.23168.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,961.744,153.094,351.77
Equity Value (M)4,537.484,747.324,964.99
Shares Outstanding (M)44.9944.9944.99
Fair Value$100.86$105.52$110.36
Upside / Downside1,353.31%1,420.52%1,490.24%

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