Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (0QYY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.95 - $30.24$26.13
Multi-Stage$39.55 - $43.58$41.52
Blended Fair Value$33.83
Current Price$27.90
Upside21.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.40%-9.16%0.740.780.750.750.551.911.982.032.032.01
YoY Growth---5.28%3.36%0.82%35.75%-71.30%-3.49%-2.40%-0.18%1.23%4.60%
Dividend Yield--2.91%1.78%1.98%1.91%1.50%10.67%5.36%4.83%3.38%4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)501.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)413.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.2362.6437.59
Cash Retained (M)413.09413.09413.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.23-62.64-37.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)312.86350.45375.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)124.03124.03124.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.522.833.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.522.833.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.233.543.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-4.90%-3.90%-2.90%
Fair Value$21.95$26.13$30.24
Upside / Downside-21.31%-6.34%8.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)501.15481.58462.79444.72427.36410.68423.00
Payout Ratio17.57%32.06%46.54%61.03%75.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.06154.38215.39271.41322.72369.61391.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-4.90%-3.90%-2.90%
Year 1 PV (M)140.03141.51142.98
Year 2 PV (M)177.22180.97184.75
Year 3 PV (M)202.55209.01215.60
Year 4 PV (M)218.47227.80237.43
Year 5 PV (M)226.96239.14251.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,939.984,151.544,372.10
Equity Value (M)4,905.225,149.985,404.72
Shares Outstanding (M)124.03124.03124.03
Fair Value$39.55$41.52$43.58
Upside / Downside41.75%48.82%56.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 15 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
1908.HKC&D International Investment Group Limited7.31%$1.1225.81%
2529.HKHollwin Urban Operation Service Group Co., Ltd7.31%$0.2224.64%
BMOB3.SABemobi Mobile Tech S.A.7.31%$1.6192.50%
CAMB3.SACambuci S.A.7.30%$0.7245.75%
CIP.AXCenturia Industrial REIT7.30%$0.2484.35%
NEO.BKNeo Corporate PCL7.30%$1.3550.11%
QTC.BKQTC Energy Public Company Limited7.30%$0.2597.23%
WHATS.BRWhat's Cooking Group NV/SA7.29%$8.2032.94%
C5H.IRCairn Homes plc7.28%$0.1544.15%
DOHI.QADoha Insurance Group Q.P.S.C.7.28%$0.1946.40%
STRN.SWSchlatter Industries AG7.28%$1.5052.09%
HDN.AXHomeCo Daily Needs REIT7.27%$0.1062.96%
IPCM.JKPT Jasa Armada Indonesia Tbk7.27%$26.1977.38%
O39.SIOversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited7.27%$1.4449.91%
THIP.BKThantawan Industry Public Company Limited7.27%$1.6450.43%
C6L.SISingapore Airlines Limited7.26%$0.4745.79%
SAPPE.BKSappe Public Company Limited7.26%$2.2382.18%
QIP.AXQANTM Intellectual Property Limited7.25%$0.1392.42%
KUOA.MXGrupo KUO, S.A.B. de C.V.7.24%$4.3464.64%
OYY.SIPropNex Limited7.24%$0.1493.41%
7035.KLCCK Consolidated Holdings Berhad7.23%$0.0976.61%
SOGN.OLSogn Sparebank7.22%$20.0011.36%
0QN6.LSF Urban Properties AG7.21%$7.2563.89%
WBC.AXWestpac Banking Corporation7.21%$2.8174.44%
120110.KSKolon Industries, Inc.7.20%$3,060.7698.52%
MILS3.SAMills Locação, Serviços e Logística S.A.7.20%$1.0181.51%
UZU.DEUzin Utz AG7.20%$5.1146.82%
3296.TNIPPON REIT Investment Corporation7.19%$7,108.4763.73%
600035.SSHubei Chutian Smart Communication Co.,Ltd.7.19%$0.2866.74%
036460.KSKorea Gas Corporation7.17%$2,752.5029.13%
HABITAT.SNAdministradora de Fondos de Pensiones Habitat S.A.7.17%$110.0070.97%
ITUB3.SAItaú Unibanco Holding S.A.7.17%$2.6064.54%
SAMF.JKPT Saraswanti Anugerah Makmur, Tbk7.17%$22.2285.61%
0HM0.LVGP N.V.7.16%$7.0036.73%
VLS.AXVita Life Sciences Limited7.16%$0.1855.52%
CRBN.ASCorbion N.V.7.15%$1.3455.86%
0586.HKChina Conch Venture Holdings Limited7.14%$0.6929.51%
600011.SSHuaneng Power International, Inc.7.14%$0.5357.39%
IFII.JKPT Indonesia Fibreboard Industry Tbk7.14%$16.0070.24%
UNTR.JKPT United Tractors Tbk7.14%$2,150.1250.66%
4987.TWOGodex International Co., Ltd7.12%$5.1885.38%
2328.HKPICC Property and Casualty Company Limited7.11%$1.1842.87%
CXSE3.SACaixa Seguridade Participações S.A.7.11%$1.1880.41%
PUB.PAPublicis Groupe S.A.7.11%$6.2349.76%
600057.SSXiamen Xiangyu Co., Ltd.7.10%$0.6177.47%
MYPK3.SAIochpe-Maxion S.A.7.09%$0.7051.81%
PRM-R.BKPrima Marine Public Company Limited7.09%$0.4949.90%
601187.SSXiamen Bank Co., Ltd.7.08%$0.5252.74%
014130.KSHanexpress.Co., Ltd7.07%$213.2520.61%
0NY3.LSTEF S.a.7.07%$9.1944.77%