Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The First Bancorp, Inc. (FNLC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.44 - $120.00$78.34
Multi-Stage$50.89 - $55.65$53.23
Blended Fair Value$65.79
Current Price$26.26
Upside150.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.04%5.92%1.411.381.321.251.191.161.081.020.880.84
YoY Growth--2.50%4.32%5.96%4.64%2.82%7.56%5.17%16.82%4.93%5.13%
Dividend Yield--5.71%5.65%5.10%4.14%4.08%5.26%4.22%3.66%3.22%4.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.303.942.36
Cash Retained (M)17.2017.2017.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.30-3.94-2.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.9013.2614.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.2011.2011.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.181.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.281.281.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.181.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.252.462.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate3.92%4.92%5.92%
Fair Value$54.44$78.34$120.00
Upside / Downside107.30%198.33%356.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.5033.0534.6836.3838.1740.0541.25
Payout Ratio45.40%54.32%63.24%72.16%81.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.3017.9621.9326.2630.9536.0538.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.22%8.22%8.22%
Growth Rate3.92%4.92%5.92%
Year 1 PV (M)16.4316.5916.75
Year 2 PV (M)18.3718.7319.09
Year 3 PV (M)20.1320.7221.32
Year 4 PV (M)21.7222.5723.44
Year 5 PV (M)23.1524.2925.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)469.96493.01516.96
Equity Value (M)569.77595.91623.02
Shares Outstanding (M)11.2011.2011.20
Fair Value$50.89$53.23$55.65
Upside / Downside93.81%102.70%111.92%

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