Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Crawford & Company (CRD-A)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.24 - $11.82$9.29
Multi-Stage$13.40 - $14.72$14.05
Blended Fair Value$11.67
Current Price$10.70
Upside9.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.87%1.62%0.280.250.240.250.190.260.270.270.270.27
YoY Growth--8.30%7.25%-6.48%31.29%-26.77%-2.64%-1.26%1.00%0.40%15.31%
Dividend Yield--2.41%2.82%2.84%3.35%1.81%3.66%2.98%3.42%3.34%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.524.072.44
Cash Retained (M)18.5218.5218.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.52-4.07-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.0014.4516.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.9449.9449.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate-0.38%0.62%1.62%
Fair Value$7.24$9.29$11.82
Upside / Downside-32.37%-13.21%10.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.6032.8033.0033.2033.4133.6134.62
Payout Ratio43.18%52.54%61.91%71.27%80.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0717.2320.4323.6626.9430.2532.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate-0.38%0.62%1.62%
Year 1 PV (M)15.9716.1316.29
Year 2 PV (M)17.5517.9118.27
Year 3 PV (M)18.8519.4220.01
Year 4 PV (M)19.8920.7021.54
Year 5 PV (M)20.7121.7722.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)576.03605.53636.22
Equity Value (M)669.00701.46735.20
Shares Outstanding (M)49.9449.9449.94
Fair Value$13.40$14.05$14.72
Upside / Downside25.21%31.28%37.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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