Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

U.S. Bancorp (USB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$103.31 - $263.90$156.14
Multi-Stage$92.87 - $101.60$97.16
Blended Fair Value$126.65
Current Price$48.33
Upside162.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.82%6.00%1.981.911.781.651.641.571.341.241.161.14
YoY Growth--4.11%6.99%7.64%1.06%4.46%16.78%8.51%6.52%1.86%2.95%
Dividend Yield--4.70%4.33%4.94%3.11%2.96%4.55%2.73%2.45%2.25%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,188.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,140.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,048.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,437.60898.50539.10
Cash Retained (M)4,048.004,048.004,048.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,437.60-898.50-539.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,610.403,149.503,508.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.001,559.001,559.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.672.022.25
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.672.022.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.694.034.26
WACC / Discount Rate7.72%7.72%7.72%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Fair Value$103.31$156.14$263.90
Upside / Downside113.77%223.07%446.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,188.007,547.657,925.298,321.828,738.209,175.419,450.67
Payout Ratio43.68%52.95%62.21%71.47%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,140.003,996.264,930.355,947.907,054.948,257.868,741.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.72%7.72%7.72%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,674.653,709.983,745.31
Year 2 PV (M)4,168.714,249.264,330.58
Year 3 PV (M)4,624.344,759.014,896.28
Year 4 PV (M)5,043.605,240.405,442.89
Year 5 PV (M)5,428.475,694.515,970.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)121,840.66127,811.92134,015.04
Equity Value (M)144,780.42151,465.08158,400.98
Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.001,559.001,559.00
Fair Value$92.87$97.16$101.60
Upside / Downside92.15%101.02%110.23%

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