Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Royce Value Trust Inc. (RVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.79 - $9.91$8.93
Multi-Stage$15.27 - $16.96$16.10
Blended Fair Value$12.51
Current Price$15.05
Upside-16.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-28.58%-17.42%0.170.610.720.860.890.910.970.830.700.82
YoY Growth---72.24%-15.76%-16.32%-3.22%-1.89%-6.09%17.24%17.62%-14.39%-28.37%
Dividend Yield--1.07%4.18%5.45%4.41%5.53%6.16%8.20%5.11%5.24%6.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)412.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)249.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.4551.5330.92
Cash Retained (M)249.82249.82249.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.45-51.53-30.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.37198.29218.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)116.40116.40116.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.441.701.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.441.701.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.833.103.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate-19.42%-18.42%-17.42%
Fair Value$7.79$8.93$9.91
Upside / Downside-48.24%-40.66%-34.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)412.27336.34274.39223.86182.63148.99153.46
Payout Ratio39.40%49.52%59.64%69.76%79.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162.45166.56163.65156.17145.88134.09141.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate-19.42%-18.42%-17.42%
Year 1 PV (M)149.71151.57153.43
Year 2 PV (M)132.22135.52138.86
Year 3 PV (M)113.40117.68122.06
Year 4 PV (M)95.22100.04105.03
Year 5 PV (M)78.6783.6888.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,208.561,285.431,366.17
Equity Value (M)1,777.781,873.911,974.48
Shares Outstanding (M)116.40116.40116.40
Fair Value$15.27$16.10$16.96
Upside / Downside1.48%6.97%12.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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