Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nos, S.g.p.s., S.a. (NOS.LS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.38 - $8.70$6.87
Multi-Stage$9.20 - $10.08$9.64
Blended Fair Value$8.25
Current Price$3.87
Upside113.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.07%11.18%0.350.280.280.280.280.350.300.200.160.14
YoY Growth--25.83%-0.09%-0.01%-0.10%-20.65%16.69%50.00%24.96%13.72%16.45%
Dividend Yield--7.93%7.59%6.59%7.30%8.98%11.50%5.20%4.18%3.14%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)253.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)204.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.6331.6418.99
Cash Retained (M)48.2548.2548.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.63-31.64-18.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.3916.6029.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)511.91511.91511.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate0.06%1.06%2.06%
Fair Value$5.38$6.87$8.70
Upside / Downside38.91%77.56%124.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)253.15255.82258.52261.25264.01266.80274.80
Payout Ratio80.94%82.75%84.57%86.38%88.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)204.91211.70218.62225.66232.83240.12254.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate0.06%1.06%2.06%
Year 1 PV (M)195.13197.08199.03
Year 2 PV (M)185.73189.46193.23
Year 3 PV (M)176.71182.06187.52
Year 4 PV (M)168.05174.87181.89
Year 5 PV (M)159.74167.89176.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,826.544,021.624,224.57
Equity Value (M)4,711.904,932.975,162.61
Shares Outstanding (M)511.91511.91511.91
Fair Value$9.20$9.64$10.08
Upside / Downside137.84%149.00%160.59%

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