Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG (LLBN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$175.91 - $341.21$241.68
Multi-Stage$201.60 - $220.32$210.79
Blended Fair Value$226.23
Current Price$81.70
Upside176.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.12%6.66%2.692.502.302.192.192.101.891.601.501.41
YoY Growth--7.71%8.84%4.74%0.17%4.38%11.10%17.91%6.38%6.74%-0.19%
Dividend Yield--3.83%3.78%4.11%4.17%4.17%3.36%2.88%3.22%3.73%3.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)334.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)250.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.8141.7625.05
Cash Retained (M)83.7383.7383.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.81-41.76-25.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.9241.9758.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.6730.6730.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.551.371.91
LTM Dividend per Share8.168.168.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.551.371.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.719.5310.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate2.93%3.93%4.93%
Fair Value$175.91$241.68$341.21
Upside / Downside115.31%195.81%317.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)334.07347.19360.83375.01389.74405.06417.21
Payout Ratio74.94%77.95%80.96%83.97%86.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)250.34270.63292.14314.91339.03364.55385.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.03%8.03%8.03%
Growth Rate2.93%3.93%4.93%
Year 1 PV (M)248.11250.52252.93
Year 2 PV (M)245.54250.34255.18
Year 3 PV (M)242.66249.80257.08
Year 4 PV (M)239.50248.95258.67
Year 5 PV (M)236.10247.80259.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,972.245,218.515,474.45
Equity Value (M)6,184.166,465.926,758.26
Shares Outstanding (M)30.6730.6730.67
Fair Value$201.60$210.79$220.32
Upside / Downside146.76%158.00%169.67%

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