Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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K&S Corporation Limited (KSC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.49 - $5.15$4.28
Multi-Stage$6.04 - $6.62$6.33
Blended Fair Value$5.30
Current Price$3.35
Upside58.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS129.89%13.98%0.160.180.110.010.060.000.010.010.000.01
YoY Growth---11.11%70.08%1,113.07%-84.55%2,165.98%-51.36%-9.43%101.04%-81.04%-65.68%
Dividend Yield--4.75%6.17%4.30%0.50%3.69%0.19%0.28%0.35%0.17%1.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.087.554.53
Cash Retained (M)13.8913.8913.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.08-7.55-4.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.816.349.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.59137.59137.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.41
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate-1.37%-0.37%0.63%
Fair Value$3.49$4.28$5.15
Upside / Downside4.05%27.82%53.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.4260.2059.9859.7659.5459.3261.10
Payout Ratio77.01%79.61%82.21%84.80%87.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.5347.9249.3150.6852.0453.3956.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate-1.37%-0.37%0.63%
Year 1 PV (M)43.7044.1444.58
Year 2 PV (M)40.9941.8342.67
Year 3 PV (M)38.4139.5940.80
Year 4 PV (M)35.9737.4538.97
Year 5 PV (M)33.6435.3937.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)638.87671.92706.33
Equity Value (M)831.58870.31910.55
Shares Outstanding (M)137.59137.59137.59
Fair Value$6.04$6.33$6.62
Upside / Downside80.42%88.82%97.55%

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