Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Flaherty & Crumrine Total Return Fund Inc. (FLC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.83 - $27.43$23.65
Multi-Stage$43.18 - $47.58$45.33
Blended Fair Value$34.49
Current Price$16.63
Upside107.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.66%-4.18%0.850.881.101.121.061.021.101.161.191.23
YoY Growth---3.11%-20.61%-1.53%5.24%4.10%-6.91%-5.14%-2.37%-3.67%-5.36%
Dividend Yield--5.08%6.16%6.82%4.95%4.60%4.63%6.44%5.43%5.91%6.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.385.863.52
Cash Retained (M)26.8426.8426.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.38-5.86-3.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.4620.9823.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0713.0713.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.601.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.531.531.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.601.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.873.143.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-5.66%-4.66%-3.66%
Fair Value$19.83$23.65$27.43
Upside / Downside19.23%42.20%64.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.8944.7142.6240.6338.7436.9338.04
Payout Ratio42.77%52.21%61.66%71.11%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.0523.3426.2828.8931.2133.2435.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate-5.66%-4.66%-3.66%
Year 1 PV (M)21.3921.6121.84
Year 2 PV (M)22.0622.5323.01
Year 3 PV (M)22.2322.9423.67
Year 4 PV (M)22.0022.9423.92
Year 5 PV (M)21.4722.6323.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)455.26479.91505.61
Equity Value (M)564.41592.57621.90
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0713.0713.07
Fair Value$43.18$45.33$47.58
Upside / Downside159.65%172.61%186.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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