Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Best Pacific International Holdings Limited (2111.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.70 - $179.93$56.44
Multi-Stage$18.33 - $20.03$19.16
Blended Fair Value$37.80
Current Price$2.43
Upside1,455.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.83%21.83%0.250.100.190.150.060.070.060.090.150.10
YoY Growth--159.56%-50.10%28.05%156.90%-13.43%13.91%-37.49%-37.64%49.35%194.63%
Dividend Yield--8.10%8.42%16.31%7.13%4.64%3.05%2.99%1.93%2.53%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)946.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)355.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)590.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)189.33118.3371.00
Cash Retained (M)590.72590.72590.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-189.33-118.33-71.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)401.39472.39519.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,039.811,039.811,039.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.450.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.84
WACC / Discount Rate8.00%8.00%8.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.70$56.44$179.93
Upside / Downside1,163.25%2,222.69%7,304.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)946.651,008.181,073.711,143.501,217.831,296.991,335.90
Payout Ratio37.60%48.08%58.56%69.04%79.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)355.93484.72628.76789.47968.421,167.291,235.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.00%8.00%8.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)444.59448.80453.02
Year 2 PV (M)528.95539.03549.20
Year 3 PV (M)609.16626.65644.47
Year 4 PV (M)685.38711.73738.84
Year 5 PV (M)757.73794.32832.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,032.7216,807.1117,611.13
Equity Value (M)19,058.5319,927.6420,828.98
Shares Outstanding (M)1,039.811,039.811,039.81
Fair Value$18.33$19.16$20.03
Upside / Downside654.28%688.67%724.34%

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