Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VGP N.V. (0HM0.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$941.90 - $3,790.34$2,509.25
Multi-Stage$460.33 - $503.51$481.52
Blended Fair Value$1,495.39
Current Price$85.50
Upside1,648.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.82%0.00%3.702.755.482.752.211.501.290.000.000.00
YoY Growth--34.55%-49.82%99.07%24.57%47.51%15.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.18%2.62%7.04%1.14%1.92%1.82%2.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)520.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)191.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)329.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)104.0365.0239.01
Cash Retained (M)329.10329.10329.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-104.03-65.02-39.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)225.07264.08290.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.2927.2927.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.259.6810.63
LTM Dividend per Share7.007.007.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.259.6810.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.2516.6817.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$941.90$2,509.25$3,790.34
Upside / Downside1,001.63%2,834.80%4,333.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)520.14553.95589.96628.31669.15712.64734.02
Payout Ratio36.73%47.38%58.04%68.69%79.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)191.04262.48342.40431.59530.94641.38678.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)242.53244.83247.13
Year 2 PV (M)292.34297.90303.52
Year 3 PV (M)340.49350.26360.22
Year 4 PV (M)387.03401.92417.23
Year 5 PV (M)432.01452.88474.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,868.6611,393.6211,938.68
Equity Value (M)12,563.0713,141.4213,741.33
Shares Outstanding (M)27.2927.2927.29
Fair Value$460.33$481.52$503.51
Upside / Downside438.40%463.19%488.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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