Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Stepan Company (SCL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.52 - $41.68$31.98
Multi-Stage$35.82 - $39.20$37.48
Blended Fair Value$34.73
Current Price$47.70
Upside-27.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.01%8.24%1.481.441.341.231.111.010.910.830.760.71
YoY Growth--3.29%7.51%8.87%10.54%9.99%10.74%10.31%9.11%6.31%5.93%
Dividend Yield--2.69%1.62%1.30%1.24%0.87%1.14%1.03%0.99%0.96%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.055.663.39
Cash Retained (M)10.4910.4910.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.05-5.66-3.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.444.837.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.8922.8922.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.210.31
LTM Dividend per Share1.521.521.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.210.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.581.731.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate1.24%2.24%3.24%
Fair Value$24.52$31.98$41.68
Upside / Downside-48.60%-32.95%-12.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45.2446.2647.2948.3549.4450.5552.06
Payout Ratio76.82%79.46%82.09%84.73%87.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.7636.7538.8240.9743.1945.4948.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate1.24%2.24%3.24%
Year 1 PV (M)33.7734.1034.44
Year 2 PV (M)32.7833.4334.09
Year 3 PV (M)31.7832.7333.70
Year 4 PV (M)30.7832.0233.29
Year 5 PV (M)29.7931.2932.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)661.13694.43729.06
Equity Value (M)820.03858.00897.42
Shares Outstanding (M)22.8922.8922.89
Fair Value$35.82$37.48$39.20
Upside / Downside-24.91%-21.43%-17.82%

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