Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - MortgageSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.29 - $9.84$8.60
Multi-Stage$43.13 - $48.05$45.54
Blended Fair Value$27.07
Current Price$7.24
Upside273.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.89%-12.47%0.600.580.650.360.492.061.841.861.782.27
YoY Growth--3.10%-10.22%80.12%-26.82%-76.16%11.86%-0.85%4.54%-21.77%0.06%
Dividend Yield--8.21%9.59%11.25%3.86%4.06%25.06%3.62%3.56%3.28%5.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.936.213.72
Cash Retained (M)28.0828.0828.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.93-6.21-3.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.1421.8724.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.0130.0130.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.730.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.730.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.321.451.53
WACC / Discount Rate4.73%4.73%4.73%
Growth Rate-11.37%-10.37%-9.37%
Fair Value$7.29$8.60$9.84
Upside / Downside0.70%18.76%35.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49.6744.5239.9035.7632.0628.7329.60
Payout Ratio43.47%52.77%62.08%71.39%80.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.5923.4924.7725.5325.8725.8627.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.73%4.73%4.73%
Growth Rate-11.37%-10.37%-9.37%
Year 1 PV (M)22.1822.4322.68
Year 2 PV (M)22.0822.5823.09
Year 3 PV (M)21.4922.2322.98
Year 4 PV (M)20.5621.5022.48
Year 5 PV (M)19.4120.5321.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,188.711,257.291,329.01
Equity Value (M)1,294.431,366.571,441.94
Shares Outstanding (M)30.0130.0130.01
Fair Value$43.13$45.54$48.05
Upside / Downside495.77%528.97%563.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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