Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

H2O America (HTO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$188.08 - $630.42$590.80
Multi-Stage$83.37 - $91.16$87.20
Blended Fair Value$339.00
Current Price$48.70
Upside596.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.84%13.13%1.511.391.261.161.060.990.670.620.480.46
YoY Growth--8.82%9.92%8.58%9.94%6.96%47.93%8.17%28.82%4.24%4.66%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.49%1.66%1.67%1.68%1.71%1.10%1.20%1.00%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.8613.668.20
Cash Retained (M)52.3752.3752.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.86-13.66-8.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.5138.7144.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.4734.4734.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.121.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.651.651.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.121.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.542.772.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$188.08$590.80$630.42
Upside / Downside286.19%1,113.14%1,194.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.28116.38123.95132.00140.58149.72154.21
Payout Ratio52.08%59.66%67.25%74.83%82.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.9169.4483.3598.78115.86134.75142.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)64.3364.9465.55
Year 2 PV (M)71.5472.9174.28
Year 3 PV (M)78.5580.8183.11
Year 4 PV (M)85.3688.6592.02
Year 5 PV (M)91.9896.42101.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,482.352,602.252,726.73
Equity Value (M)2,874.123,005.973,142.73
Shares Outstanding (M)34.4734.4734.47
Fair Value$83.37$87.20$91.16
Upside / Downside71.20%79.05%87.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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