Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Groupe Minoteries S.A. (GMI.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$253.31 - $365.36$307.90
Multi-Stage$383.35 - $419.18$400.93
Blended Fair Value$354.42
Current Price$230.00
Upside54.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.45%8.18%11.0015.009.009.008.007.007.017.016.015.01
YoY Growth---26.67%66.67%0.00%12.50%14.24%-0.13%0.00%16.69%19.89%0.06%
Dividend Yield--3.99%5.36%3.06%2.22%2.38%1.95%1.81%1.92%1.76%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.321.450.87
Cash Retained (M)4.334.334.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.32-1.45-0.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.012.883.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.330.330.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.098.7210.47
LTM Dividend per Share22.0022.0022.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.098.7210.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.0930.7232.48
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-0.98%0.02%1.02%
Fair Value$253.31$307.90$365.36
Upside / Downside10.14%33.87%58.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.5911.5911.5911.5911.5911.6011.94
Payout Ratio62.67%68.13%73.60%79.07%84.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.267.898.539.179.8010.4411.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-0.98%0.02%1.02%
Year 1 PV (M)7.117.187.25
Year 2 PV (M)6.917.057.19
Year 3 PV (M)6.686.897.09
Year 4 PV (M)6.436.696.97
Year 5 PV (M)6.166.486.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)93.2198.01103.01
Equity Value (M)126.50132.30138.32
Shares Outstanding (M)0.330.330.33
Fair Value$383.35$400.93$419.18
Upside / Downside66.67%74.32%82.25%

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