Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rici Healthcare Holdings Limited (1526.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.86 - $70.75$66.30
Multi-Stage$10.20 - $11.16$10.67
Blended Fair Value$38.49
Current Price$1.04
Upside3,600.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.080.28
YoY Growth---57.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-71.84%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.05%10.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.45%13.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)565.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)220.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)345.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.1470.7242.43
Cash Retained (M)345.61345.61345.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.14-70.72-42.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)232.46274.89303.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,590.321,590.321,590.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.86$66.30$70.75
Upside / Downside2,579.21%6,274.90%6,702.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)565.72602.50641.66683.37727.79775.09798.34
Payout Ratio38.91%49.13%59.35%69.56%79.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)220.12295.99380.80475.38580.64697.58738.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)275.12277.72280.33
Year 2 PV (M)328.98335.24341.57
Year 3 PV (M)381.72392.68403.85
Year 4 PV (M)433.37450.03467.18
Year 5 PV (M)483.93507.30531.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,319.8215,011.4715,729.59
Equity Value (M)16,222.9316,974.4617,754.09
Shares Outstanding (M)1,590.321,590.321,590.32
Fair Value$10.20$10.67$11.16
Upside / Downside880.87%926.31%973.44%

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