Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Citigroup Capital XIII TR PFD SECS (C-PN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$339.72 - $1,522.21$791.36
Multi-Stage$221.10 - $242.29$231.50
Blended Fair Value$511.43
Current Price$101.50
Upside403.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%23.44%2.732.742.632.732.812.862.642.001.200.66
YoY Growth---0.25%4.18%-3.75%-2.88%-1.74%8.51%32.21%66.03%82.52%97.95%
Dividend Yield--3.85%4.32%5.61%5.12%3.87%6.80%4.10%2.96%2.01%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,691.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,965.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,726.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,938.201,836.381,101.83
Cash Retained (M)10,726.0010,726.0010,726.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,938.20-1,836.38-1,101.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,787.808,889.639,624.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.581,901.581,901.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.104.675.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.092.092.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.104.675.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.186.767.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate4.50%5.50%6.50%
Fair Value$339.72$791.36$1,522.21
Upside / Downside234.70%679.67%1,399.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,691.0015,499.5416,352.5817,252.5618,202.0819,203.8619,779.98
Payout Ratio26.99%39.59%52.19%64.80%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,965.006,136.498,535.0011,178.9214,088.0217,283.4718,296.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate4.50%5.50%6.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,712.455,767.125,821.78
Year 2 PV (M)7,396.197,538.427,682.00
Year 3 PV (M)9,017.949,279.319,545.67
Year 4 PV (M)10,579.3710,990.1611,412.80
Year 5 PV (M)12,082.1312,671.3713,283.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)375,646.07393,966.21412,994.26
Equity Value (M)420,434.16440,212.58460,739.88
Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.581,901.581,901.58
Fair Value$221.10$231.50$242.29
Upside / Downside117.83%128.08%138.71%

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