Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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W.R. Berkley Corporation 4.125% (WRB-PH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154.50 - $787.88$277.14
Multi-Stage$92.92 - $101.59$97.18
Blended Fair Value$187.16
Current Price$76.62
Upside144.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.53%11.35%1.331.250.590.890.210.770.640.470.460.14
YoY Growth--6.08%113.21%-33.89%322.76%-72.70%20.88%35.47%2.28%217.05%-68.02%
Dividend Yield--1.87%2.15%1.42%2.00%0.63%3.32%2.53%2.18%2.20%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,905.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)508.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,397.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)381.20238.25142.95
Cash Retained (M)1,397.191,397.191,397.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-381.20-238.25-142.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,015.991,158.941,254.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.32400.32400.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.542.903.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.542.903.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.814.174.40
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$154.50$277.14$787.88
Upside / Downside101.65%261.71%928.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,905.992,029.882,161.822,302.342,451.992,611.372,689.72
Payout Ratio26.69%39.36%52.02%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)508.80798.881,124.521,489.111,896.352,350.242,487.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)732.07739.01745.95
Year 2 PV (M)944.31962.29980.45
Year 3 PV (M)1,145.901,178.801,212.31
Year 4 PV (M)1,337.251,388.681,441.57
Year 5 PV (M)1,518.731,592.081,668.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,518.7733,041.1434,621.77
Equity Value (M)37,197.0238,901.9940,670.30
Shares Outstanding (M)400.32400.32400.32
Fair Value$92.92$97.18$101.59
Upside / Downside21.27%26.83%32.59%

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