Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

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WHA Utilities and Power Public Company Limited (WHAUP-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.53 - $3.83$3.14
Multi-Stage$5.41 - $5.94$5.67
Blended Fair Value$4.41
Current Price$4.18
Upside5.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.64%0.00%0.260.160.230.260.260.310.210.000.000.00
YoY Growth--57.82%-27.28%-12.87%0.02%-16.95%49.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.36%4.08%5.82%6.35%5.81%7.54%3.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,087.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)965.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)217.52135.9581.57
Cash Retained (M)121.83121.83121.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-217.52-135.95-81.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)-95.68-14.1240.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,709.143,709.143,709.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.53$3.14$3.83
Upside / Downside-39.41%-24.77%-8.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,087.581,076.711,065.941,055.281,044.731,034.281,065.31
Payout Ratio88.80%89.04%89.28%89.52%89.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)965.75958.68951.66944.68937.74930.85985.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)886.27895.32904.36
Year 2 PV (M)813.33830.02846.87
Year 3 PV (M)746.39769.47793.03
Year 4 PV (M)684.95713.34742.60
Year 5 PV (M)628.57661.30695.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,320.4217,170.2618,055.14
Equity Value (M)20,079.9321,039.7022,037.38
Shares Outstanding (M)3,709.143,709.143,709.14
Fair Value$5.41$5.67$5.94
Upside / Downside29.51%35.70%42.14%

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